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Scenario 5.8: Risk-Neutral Icarus Airlines Must Commit Now to Leasing 1, 2

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Scenario 5.8:
Risk-neutral Icarus Airlines must commit now to leasing 1, 2, or 3 new airplanes. It knows with certainty that on the basis of business travel alone, it will need at least 1 airplane. The marketing division says that there is a 50% chance that tourism will be big enough for a second plane only. Otherwise, tourism will be big enough for a third plane. This, plus revenue information, yields the following table:
Planes Tourism Revenue Expected
Leased Light Heavy Profit
2 $90 million $30 million $60 million
3 $10 million $140 million $75 million
-Refer to Scenario 5.8. The value to Icarus Airlines of complete information is


Definitions:

Actual Causes

The direct, specific factors or conditions responsible for an outcome or event.

Deviance

Behaviors or actions that violate societal norms or expectations, eliciting a range of responses from disapproval to legal sanctions.

Phenomenological Theory

A philosophical approach focusing on individuals' subjective experiences and interpretations of the world.

Subjectivity

The influence of personal feelings, tastes, or opinions on perception or judgment.

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