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Sandra Lives in the Pacific Northwest and Enjoys Walking to and from Work

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Essay

Sandra lives in the Pacific Northwest and enjoys walking to and from work during sunny days. Her utility is sharply diminished if she must walk while it is raining. Sandra's utility function is
U = 1,000 I1 + 250 I2 + 1 I3 where I2 = 1 if she walks and there is no rain and I1 = 0 otherwise, I2 = 1 if she drives to work and I2 = 0 otherwise, and I3 = 1 if she walks and it rains and I3 = 0 otherwise. Sandra believes that the probability of rain today is 3/10. Given her beliefs, what is her expected utility from walking to work? What is her expected utility from driving to work according to her beliefs? If Sandra maximizes her expected utility according to her beliefs, will she drive or walk to work? Sandra missed the weather report this morning that stated the true probability of rain today is 4/5. Given the weather report is accurate, what is Sandra's true expected utility from walking and driving to work? How much could Sandra increase her expected utility if she read and believed the weather report?


Definitions:

Yellow Bone Marrow

A type of bone marrow primarily composed of fat cells, which serves as a storage reserve of fats and contributes to energy supply.

Medullary Cavity

The central cavity of bone shafts where red bone marrow and/or yellow bone marrow (fat) is stored; it is found within the diaphysis of long bones.

Adipose-Filled

Refers to tissues or spaces within the body that are filled with adipose tissue, a type of connective tissue that stores fat.

Anchors Tendons

A term that may refer to structures or techniques used to attach tendons firmly to bones.

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