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A One-Year Bond Currently Pays 5% Interest

question 93

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A one-year bond currently pays 5% interest. It's expected that it will pay 4.5% next year and 4% the following year. The two-year term premium is 0.2% while the three-year term premium is 0.35%. What is the interest rate on a two-year bond according to the preferred habitat theory?


Definitions:

Financial Securities

Financial instruments representing some type of financial value, including stocks, bonds, and options, which can be bought and sold in financial markets.

Real GDP

A measure of a country's economic output adjusted for price changes (inflation or deflation), reflecting the true value of goods and services produced.

Aggregate Demand

Whole demand for merchandise and services in an economy, at a particular overall price point within a defined temporal scope.

Money Supply

The sum of all financial assets in an economy at a particular time, encompassing cash, deposits in banks, and other easily convertible assets.

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