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Exhibit 14-3 the Quarterly Numbers of Applications for Home Mortgage Loans at Loans

question 21

Essay

Exhibit 14-3
The quarterly numbers of applications for home mortgage loans at a branch office of a large bank are recorded in the table below.
-Refer to Exhibit 14-3. Use simple exponential smoothing to forecast these data, requesting 4 quarters of future forecasts. Use the default smoothing constant of 0.10. Is this better than the moving average model?

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Definitions:

Negligence Claim

A legal assertion that one party's failure to exercise reasonable care has resulted in harm or injury to another.

Element Of Conversion

A crucial aspect in tort law, indicating the act of wrongfully possessing or using someone else’s property without permission.

Malicious Intentions

The purpose or desire to do harm or cause negative outcomes to others.

Assumption Of Risk

A legal doctrine whereby an individual is understood to have knowingly exposed themselves to a dangerous activity or condition and thus cannot seek compensation for resulting injuries.

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