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One Local Hospital Has Just Enough Space and Funds Presently

question 54

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One local hospital has just enough space and funds presently available to start either a cancer or heart research lab.If administration decides on the cancer lab,there is a 20 percent chance of getting $100,000 in outside funding from the American Cancer Society next year,and an 80 percent chance of getting nothing.If the cancer research lab is funded the first year,no additional outside funding will be available the second year.However,if it is not funded the first year,then management estimates the chances are 50 percent it will get $100,000 the following year,and 50 percent that it will get nothing again.If,however,the hospital's management decides to go with the heart lab,then there's a 50 percent chance of getting $50,000 in outside funding from the American Heart Association the first year,and a 50 percent chance of getting nothing.If the heart lab is funded the first year,management estimates a 40 percent chance of getting another $50,000,and a 60 percent chance of getting nothing additional the second year.If it is not funded the first year,then management estimates a 60 percent chance for getting $50,000,and a 40 percent chance of getting nothing in the following year.For both the cancer and heart research labs,no further possible funding is anticipated beyond the first two years.What is the expected value for the decision alternative to select the cancer lab?


Definitions:

Actual Performance

The real, observed output, result, or productivity as opposed to planned or expected performance.

Opportunity Situation

Refers to a set of circumstances that presents a chance for an individual or organization to achieve a specific goal or benefit.

Management By Exception

A management strategy where managers intervene only when performance deviates significantly from set standards.

Control Process

The control process is an essential part of management that involves monitoring performance, comparing it with goals, and taking corrective action as needed.

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