The Following Economic Model Predicts Whether a Voter Will Vote $\beta$

question 4

Multiple Choice

The following economic model predicts whether a voter will vote for an incumbent school board member INCUMBENT = $\beta$ ₁ + $\beta$ ₂ MALE + $\beta$ ₃ PARTY + $\beta$ ₄ MARRIED + $\beta$ ₅ KIDS
Where
INCUMBENT = 1 if the voter votes for them,0 otherwise,
MALE = 1 if the voter is a male,
PARTY indicates the voter is registered with the same political party as the incumbent,
MARRIED = 1 for married voters,0 otherwise,and
KIDS is the number of school age kids living in the voter's house.
How should we interpret $\beta$ ₄?

• A)the likelihood the incumbent candidate is married
• B)the percentage of married voters who vote for the incumbent
• C)the probability a married person is registered to vote
• D)the difference in probability a married voter will vote for the incumbent as opposed to an unmarried voter

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