A Company Is Considering Producing Some New Gameboy Electronic Games

question 65

Multiple Choice

A company is considering producing some new Gameboy electronic games.Based on past records,management believes that there is a 70 percent chance that each of these will be successful and a 30 percent chance of failure.Market research may be used to revise these probabilities.In the past,the successful products were predicted to be successful based on market research 90 percent of the time.However,for products that failed,the market research predicted these would be successes 20 percent of the time.If market research is performed for a new product,what is the probability that the product will be successful if the market research indicates a failure?

• A)0.20
• B)0.90
• C)0.91
• D)0.63
• E)0.23

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Definitions:

Attention

The act of focusing thought or consciousness on a specific subject or activity.

Perceptual Constancy

The psychological phenomenon whereby perceivers experience a stable perception of an object even though sensory input may vary widely.

Retinal Image

The visual image produced on the retina of the eye, serving as the basis for visual perception.

Object

An entity, tangible and visible, that can be perceived by the senses.