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TABLE 16-12
A local store developed a multiplicative time-series model to forecast its revenues in future quarters,using quarterly data on its revenues during the 5-year period from 2008 to 2012.The following is the resulting regression equation:
log10
= 6.102 + 0.012 X - 0.129 Q1 - 0.054 Q2 + 0.098 Q3
where is the estimated number of contracts in a quarter
X is the coded quarterly value with X = 0 in the first quarter of 2008
Q1 is a dummy variable equal to 1 in the first quarter of a year and 0 otherwise
Q2 is a dummy variable equal to 1 in the second quarter of a year and 0 otherwise is a dummy variable equal to 1 in the third quarter of a year and 0 otherwise
-Referring to Table 16-12,the best interpretation of the coefficient of Q3 (0.098) in the regression equation is
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