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TABLE 16-13
Given below is the monthly time-series data for U.S.retail sales of building materials over a specific year. The results of the linear trend,quadratic trend,exponential trend,first-order autoregressive,second-order autoregressive and third-order autoregressive model are presented below in which the coded month for the 1st month is 0:
Linear trend model: Quadratic trend model:
Exponential trend model:
First-order autoregressive:
Second-order autoregressive:
Third-order autoregressive:
Below is the residual plot of the various models:
-Referring to Table 16-13,what is the exponentially smoothed forecast for the 13th month using a smoothing coefficient of W = 0.5 if the exponentially smooth value for the 10th and 11th month are 9,746.3672 and 9,480.1836,respectively?
Elastic Demand
A situation in which the quantity demanded of a good or service significantly changes in response to a change in price.
Close Substitutes
Products or services that can easily replace one another in usage or consumption.
Demand Curves
Graphs showing the relationship between the price of a good and the quantity demanded by consumers, typically downward sloping.
Price Elasticity of Demand
A measure of how much the quantity demanded of a good responds to a change in the price of that good, expressed as a percentage change.
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