The Probability That House Sales Will Increase in the Next

question 66

Multiple Choice

The probability that house sales will increase in the next 6 months is estimated to be 0.25.The probability that the interest rates on housing loans will go up in the same period is estimated to be 0.74.The probability that house sales or interest rates will go up during the next 6 months is estimated to be 0.89.The probability that house sales will increase but interest rates will not during the next 6 months is:

• A)0.065
• B)0.15
• C)0.51
• D)0.89

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Definitions:

Programmed Decision

A decision-making process that follows a set of established procedures or rules, often used for routine and repetitive decisions.

Bounded Rationality

A concept suggesting that individuals make decisions based on the limited information available to them and their own cognitive limitations.

Convergent Thinking

A cognitive process where the focus is on narrowing down multiple ideas or solutions to determine a single best solution.

Creative Process

The series of steps or stages involved in generating innovative ideas or solutions, which often include preparation, incubation, illumination, and verification.