Container Company ​

question 95

Essay

Container Company ​
A company must decide whether or not to change its packaging to a more environmentally safe material.The impact of the decision on profits depends on which of the following three possible scenarios develops in the future. ​ Scenario 1: The media does not focus heavily on concerns about packaging and no new laws requiring changes in packaging are passed.Under this scenario,the company will make $35 million if they change their packaging now,but will make $75 million if they do not change their packaging now. ​ Scenario 2: The media does focus heavily on concerns about packaging and no new laws requiring changes in packaging are passed.Under this scenario,the company will make $50 million if they change their packaging now,but will make $55 million if they do not change their packaging now. ​ Scenario 3: The media does focus heavily on concerns about packaging and new laws requiring changes in packaging are passed.Under this scenario,the company will make $60 million if they change their packaging now,but will make only $15 million if they do not change their packaging now. ​ The prior probabilities of the three scenarios are 0.3,0.5,and 0.2,respectively. ​ ​
-{Container Company Narrative} Which decision has the minimum expected opportunity loss?

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Definitions:

Expected Return

The anticipated profit or loss from an investment based on its potential risks and rewards.

SML

The Security Market Line (SML) represents the relationship between the expected return of a market security and its risk, measured by beta, within the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM).

Market Portfolio

A theoretical bundle of investments that includes every type of asset available in the market, with each asset weighted by its total market capitalization.

Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM)

Equation of the Security Market Line showing the relationship between expected return and beta.