Use Exponential Smoothing,with W = 0

question 209

Essay

Use exponential smoothing,with w = 0.4,to forecast the next value of the time series that follows.
$$\begin{array} { | l | l | } \hline \boldsymbol { t } & y _ { \mathbf { t } } \\\hline 1 & 20 \\2 & 16 \\3 & 24 \\4 & 25 \\5 & 22 \\6 & 21 \\\hline\end{array}$$

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Definitions:

Avoidant Personality Disorder

A personality disorder characterized by consistent discomfort and restraint in social situations, overwhelming feelings of inadequacy, and extreme sensitivity to negative evaluation.

Cuts Himself

Cuts Himself indicates a self-harming behavior where an individual deliberately inflicts injuries upon oneself, often as a coping mechanism for emotional pain or psychological distress.

Borderline Personality Disorder

A psychological condition marked by widespread instability in personal relationships, one's self-perception, and emotional states.

Biosocial

An approach that examines the complex interplay between biological and social factors in shaping human behavior and mental processes.