The Trend Line and Seasonal Indexes Shown Below Were Computed $\tilde { y } _ { t }$

question 3

Essay

The trend line and seasonal indexes shown below were computed from four weeks of daily observations.Forecast the seven values for the next week.
Trend Line: $\tilde { y } _ { t }$ = 145 + 1.66t (t = 1,2,3,...28)
$$\begin{array} { | l | c | } \hline \text { Day } & \boldsymbol { SI } _ { \mathbf { t } } \\\hline \text { Sunday } & 1.403 \\\text { Munday } & {0 .517 } \\\text { Tuesday } & 0 .515 \\\text { Wednesday } & 0.621 \\\text { Thursday } & 0 .675 \\\text { Friday } & 1.145 \\\text { Saturday } & 2.124 \\\hline\end{array}$$

---

Definitions:

Hans Selye

A pioneering Hungarian-Canadian endocrinologist known for his research on the stress response and for defining the General Adaptation Syndrome, a theory of stress and the body's way of adapting to it.

Biological Response

Biological response refers to any reaction or change in an organism or any of its parts resulting from exposure to a specific stimulus or environment.

Role Conflict

The stress or dilemma that occurs when an individual is confronted with competing demands or expectations from different roles they play in their life.

Ambiguity

The quality of being open to more than one interpretation, unclear, or inexactness in language, making understanding challenging.