Which of the Following Would Be Most Consistent with a GRIT

question 15

Multiple Choice

Which of the following would be most consistent with a GRIT strategy?

• A) announcing that even a small attack on an ally will result in a nuclear attack on the enemy
• B) announcing that defense expenditures will be cut by 5 percent and inviting the enemy to do likewise
• C) announcing that one has formed an alliance with several countries encircling the enemy
• D) announcing that the opposing party's invasion of a neutral country will be challenged in an international court of law

---

Definitions:

Prior Probabilities

The probabilities that are assigned to events or hypotheses before any relevant evidence is taken into account, used in Bayesian analysis.

Likelihood Probabilities

Measures of how probable different outcomes are, given a specific set of observed data, in statistical analysis.

Joint Probabilities

The likelihood of two or more events happening at the same time.

Marginal Probabilities

The probability distribution of the random variables individually, without regard to any possible correlations between them.