Ms Smythe Keeps Eric After School Whenever He Swears in Class

question 13

Multiple Choice

Ms. Smythe keeps Eric after school whenever he swears in class. Even though Eric has been kept after school each day for the past three weeks, his swearing has increased rather than decreased. Given what we know about the effects of punishment on behavior, Ms. Smythe should probably conclude that:

• A) Her punishment is only temporarily suppressing Eric's swearing.
• B) The punishment is too severe.
• C) Eric's swearing will decrease eventually.
• D) Staying after school is not a punishment for Eric.

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Definitions:

Mean Square Error

A measure of the average of the squares of the errors or deviations, indicating the difference between the estimators and what is estimated.

Mean Absolute Percentage Error

A measure used to predict accuracy in statistics, expressing the average absolute difference between observed and forecasted values as a percentage.

Holt-Winters Multiplicative Model

A forecasting technique that accounts for seasonality, trend, and error in time series data, using multiplicative methods to adjust for these components.

Double Moving Average Model

A forecasting technique that utilizes two moving averages of a time series to identify trends by signaling when the averages cross each other.