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Machiavelli (The Prince) and Hobbes (Leviathan) can both be described as rather cynical and non-idealistic visions of politics. They both emphasize struggle as a constant in politics.
Ignoring Base Rates
Involves disregarding statistical information in favor of anecdotal evidence when making judgments.
Availability Bias
A cognitive bias that makes people overestimate the importance of information that is available to them, leading to a misrepresentation of reality.
Gambler's Fallacy
The erroneous assumption that an event occurring with greater regularity than usual in a specific timeframe will occur less often in the future, and the opposite.
System of Symbols
A structured set of symbols or signs used for communication or representation within a cultural or computational context.
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