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Felix Corp. is evaluating a contract to determine proper revenue recognition. The contract is for construction of 10 yachts for a total price of $10,000,000. The customer needs the boats in its showrooms by March 1, 2018, for the yacht purchase season; the customer will provide a bonus payment of $100,000 if all yachts are delivered by the March 1 deadline. The bonus is reduced by $25,000 each week that the boats are delivered after the deadline until no bonus is paid if the boats are delivered after March 22, 2018. Felix frequently includes such bonus terms in it contracts and thus has good historical data for estimating the probabilities of completion at different dates. It estimates an equal probability (25%) for each full delivery outcome. Assume that Felix has limited experience with a construction project on the same scale as the 10 yachts. How should Felix determine the transaction price for this contract?
Confidence Interval
A range of values, derived from the sample statistics, that is likely to contain the value of an unknown population parameter.
Normally Distributed
A type of distribution in which data is symmetrically distributed around the mean, forming a bell-shaped curve.
Standard Deviation
A statistical measure that quantifies the amount of variation or dispersion of a set of data values, indicating how much the individual data points differ from the mean.
GPA Scores
A numerical calculation that represents a student's average performance across all their academic courses.
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