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In the Upcoming Election for Governor, the Most Recent Poll

question 41

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In the upcoming election for governor, the most recent poll, based on 900 respondents, predicts that the incumbent will be reelected with 55 percent of the votes. For the sake of argument, assume that 51 percent of the actual voters in the state support the incumbent governor (p = .51) . Calculate the probability of observing a sample proportion of voters .55 or higher supporting the incumbent governor.


Definitions:

Behaviorism

A psychological approach that studies observable and quantifiable aspects of behavior and the effects of the environment on those behaviors, excluding theories of mind.

Immediate Response

A swift reaction to a stimulus or situation without delay.

Learning

The process of acquiring new, or modifying existing, knowledge, behaviors, skills, values, or preferences.

Experiments

A method of research in which variables are manipulated and controlled to investigate their effect on other variables, often used to determine causality.

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