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Investors can use publicly available financial data to determine which of the following? I) The shape of the yield curve
II. Expected future short-term rates (if liquidity premiums are ignored)
III. The direction the Dow indexes are heading
IV. The actions to be taken by the Federal Reserve
Attitude Polarization
The phenomenon whereby a person's stance on a specific issue becomes more extreme after being exposed to opposing arguments.
Effort Justification
A cognitive dissonance theory concept where individuals rationalize the effort they put into achieving a goal, often valuing the outcome more if more effort was required.
Self-fulfilling Prophecy
A prediction that directly or indirectly causes itself to become true due to positive feedback between belief and behavior.
False Consensus Effect
The cognitive bias to overestimate the extent to which others share our beliefs, attitudes, and behaviors.
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