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Rearden Metal imports ore from South America. Assume that it is 2016 and Rearden Metal is worried that the South American mines may enter into a long-term contract with the Chinese to sell all of their ore output to China, hence cutting off Rearden Metal's supply. In the event of such a contract with the Chinese, Rearden Metal will face much higher costs for its raw materials causing its operating profits to decline substantially and its marginal tax rate to fall from its current level of 35% down to 10%. An insurance firm has agreed to write a trade insurance policy that will pay Rearden Metal $2,500,000 in the event of the South American supply of ore being cut off. The chance of the South American supply being cut off is estimated to be 20%, with a beta of -2.0. The risk-free rate of interest is 4% and the return on the market is estimated to be 12%.
-Rearden's NPV for purchasing this policy is closest to:
Stock Split
A corporate action in which a company divides its existing shares into multiple shares to boost the stock's liquidity, though the market capitalization remains the same.
Par Value
The nominal or face value of a bond, share of stock, or coupon as stated by the issuer.
Stock Split
A corporate action that increases the number of shares outstanding by issuing more shares to current shareholders proportionately.
Market Price
The market price currently for acquiring or selling a service or asset.
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