Use the Information for the Question(s)below

question 50

Essay

Use the information for the question(s)below.
Kinston Industries has come up with a new mountain bike prototype and is ready to go ahead with pilot production and test marketing.The pilot production and test marketing phase will last for one year and cost $500,000.Your management team believes that there is a 50% chance that the test marketing will be successful and that there will be sufficient demand for the new mountain bike.If the test-marketing phase is successful,then Kinston Industries will invest $3 million in year one to build a plant that will generate expected annual after-tax cash flows of $400,000 in perpetuity beginning in year two.If the test marketing is not successful,Kinston can still go ahead and build the new plant,but the expected annual after-tax cash flows would be only $200,000 in perpetuity beginning in year two.Kinston has the option to stop the project at any time and sell the prototype mountain bike to an overseas competitor for $300,000.Kinston's cost of capital is 10%.
-Assuming that Kinston does not have the ability to sell the prototype in year one for $300,000,draw a decision tree detailing the Kinston Industries Mountain Bike Project.

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Definitions:

Atlantic World

A term used to describe the interconnected web of social, economic, and political relationships across the Atlantic Ocean, primarily between Europe, Africa, and the Americas from the late 15th to the early 19th century.

Interdependent Web

Describes a complex system where all elements are interconnected and depend on each other for survival or function.

Transatlantic Trade

The exchange of goods, services, and capital between countries across the Atlantic Ocean, historically significant for its role in the colonial and post-colonial eras.

English American Colonies

The colonial territories under British rule in North America during the 17th and 18th centuries, which were the foundation for what later became the United States.