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question 11

Essay

Use the information for the question(s)below.
Kinston Industries has come up with a new mountain bike prototype and is ready to go ahead with pilot production and test marketing.The pilot production and test marketing phase will last for one year and cost $500,000.Your management team believes that there is a 50% chance that the test marketing will be successful and that there will be sufficient demand for the new mountain bike.If the test-marketing phase is successful,then Kinston Industries will invest $3 million in year one to build a plant that will generate expected annual after-tax cash flows of $400,000 in perpetuity beginning in year two.If the test marketing is not successful,Kinston can still go ahead and build the new plant,but the expected annual after-tax cash flows would be only $200,000 in perpetuity beginning in year two.Kinston has the option to stop the project at any time and sell the prototype mountain bike to an overseas competitor for $300,000.Kinston's cost of capital is 10%.
-Assume that Kinston has the ability to ignore the pilot production and test marketing and to go ahead and build their manufacturing plant immediately and that the probability of high or low demand would still be 50%.What is the value of the option to do pilot production and test marketing?

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Definitions:

Women

Female human beings, making up approximately half of the global population, with diverse roles and contributions in society, culture, economy, and family life.

Resistance

Opposition against an entity or force, often described within contexts of social and political movements.

Quebec Act

A 1774 act of the British Parliament that set procedures of governance in the Province of Quebec and was viewed by the thirteen American colonies as a direct threat to their governance and land claims.

Parliamentary Intent

The purpose or goal that a legislature had in mind when drafting and passing a law, often considered in legal interpretations.