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question 53

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Use the following information to answer the question(s) below.
Rearden Metal can invest in a risk-free technology that requires an up-front investment of $1 million.Rearden's managers are hesitant to invest because of uncertainty over future interest rates.Suppose that all interest rates will be either 8% or 4% in one year and remain there forever.The risk-neutral probability that interest rates will drop to 4% is 40%.The one-year risk-free interest rate is 5% and today's rate on a risk-free perpetual bond is 6%.The rate on an equivalent perpetual bond that is repayable at any time (the callable annuity rate) is 7.65%.
-Assuming that this project will provide Rearden with perpetual annual cash flows of $55,000,the NPV of investing in the project next year is closest to:


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