Ray Crofford Is Evaluating Investment Alternatives for the $100,000 Which $\quad$

question 44

Multiple Choice

Ray Crofford is evaluating investment alternatives for the $100,000 which he inherited from his grandfather.His investment advisor has identified two alternatives and constructed the following tables which show (1) expected profits (in $10,000's) for various market conditions and their probabilities, and (2) the advisor's track record on predicting Bull and Bear markets. $\quad$ $\quad$ $\quad$ $\quad$ $\quad$ $\quad$ $\quad$ $\quad$ $\quad$ $\quad$ $\quad$ $\quad$ $\quad$ $\quad$ $\quad$ $\quad$ $\quad$ $\quad$ $\quad$ $\quad$ $\quad$ $\quad$ $\quad$$\text { Actual Market }$
$\quad$$\quad$$\quad$$\quad$$\quad$$\quad$$\quad$$\quad$$\text { Market Condition }$$\quad$$\quad$$\quad$$\quad$$\quad$$\quad$$\quad$$\quad$$\text {Advisor's}$$\quad$$\text {Condition}$
$\begin{array}{c}\begin{array}{|c|c|c|c|}\hline \text { Investment } & \text { Bull (0.8) } & \text { Bear (0.2) } & \text { EMV } \\\hline \text { Bonds } & 12 & -3 & 9 \\\hline \text { Stocks } & 25 & -30 & 14 \\\hline \end{array}&\begin{array}{|c|c|c|}\hline\text { Prediction } & \text { Bull }\left(S_{1}\right) & \text { Bear }\left(S_{2}\right) \\\hline \text { Bull }\left(F_{1}\right) & 0.9 & 0.3 \\\hline \text { Bear }\left(F_{2}\right) & 0.1 & 0.7\\\hline \end{array}\end{array}$

If the advisor predicts a Bull market the EMV of the Bonds alternative, using revised probabilities, is closest to ________.

• A)$85,240
• B)$25,710
• C)$108,450
• D)$75,480
• E)$90,000

Analyze real-life examples of frustration and its psychological effects.

Distinguish between positive and negative emotions in the context of stress.

Understand the Social Readjustment Rating Scale and its application to measuring life stressors.

Recognize the impact of pressure, both to perform and to conform, in stressful situations.

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Definitions:

Marginal Tax Rate

The percentage of tax applied to your income for each tax bracket in which you qualify, essentially the rate at which the last dollar of income is taxed.

Depreciation

The allocation of the cost of a tangible asset over its useful life, reflecting wear and tear or obsolescence.

Fixed Costs

Costs that do not change with the level of production or sales activities within a certain range or period of time, such as rent, salaries, and insurance.

Contribution Margin

The amount remaining from sales revenue after variable expenses are deducted, indicating how much contributes to covering fixed costs and generating profit.