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Suppose a linear probability model you have developed finds there are two factors influencing the past bankruptcy behavior of firms: the debt ratio and the profit margin. Based on past bankruptcy experience, the linear probability model is estimated as:
PDi = 0.15 (debt ratio) + 0.05 (profit margin)
A firm you are thinking of lending to has a debt ratio of 50 percent and a profit margin of 8 percent. Calculate the firm's expected probability of default, or bankruptcy.
Annual Return
The percentage change in an investment's value over a one-year period, including dividends and interest.
Future Value
The value of an investment at a specified date in the future, taking into account factors like compound interest or returns.
Ordinary Annuity
A sequence of identical disbursements occurring at successive intervals for a set duration.
Accumulated Value
The total sum of all investments, earnings, and reinvestments over a period, often referring to the value of a life insurance policy.
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