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Assume the Current Interest Rate on a One-Year Treasury Bond

question 63

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Assume the current interest rate on a one-year Treasury bond (1R1) is 5.50 percent, the current rate on a two-year Treasury bond (1R2) is 5.95 percent, and the current rate on a three-year Treasury bond (1R3) is 8.50 percent. If the unbiased expectations theory of the term structure of interest rates is correct, what is the one-year interest rate expected on Treasury bills during year 3, 3f1?


Definitions:

Biological Rhythm

Natural cycles of physical, emotional, or intellectual changes that the body goes through, such as circadian rhythms.

Fluctuation

An irregular rising and falling in number or amount; a variation.

Expectations

Beliefs or anticipations about the future, often based on experience, knowledge, or perceived trends.

Illicit Drug

A substance whose production, sale, or use is prohibited by law, often associated with addiction and illegal trade.

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