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ABC Investment Corporation is considering a portfolio with 30% weighting in a cyclical stock and 70% weighting in a countercyclical stock. It is expected that there will be three economic states; Good, Average and Bad, each with equal probabilities of occurrence. The cyclical stock is expected to have returns of 12%, 5% and 1% in Good, Average and Bad economies respectively. The countercyclical stock is expected to have returns of -8%, 2% and 14% in Good, Average and Bad economies respectively. Given this information, calculate the portfolio expected return.
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