Exhibit 13 In Addition a Regression Analysis Indicates the Following Relationship Between

question 22

Multiple Choice

Exhibit 13.1
Use the Information Below for the Following Problem(S)
Assume that you are an analyst for the U.S. Autoparts Industry. Consider the following information that you propose to use to obtain an estimate of year 2002 EPS for the U.S. Autoparts Industry:
$\begin{array}{lrr}\begin{array}{l}\\\\\text{Personal consumption expenditures}\\\text{Personal consumption expenditures}\\ \text{growth}\\\text{Industry Sales per share}\\\text{Industry Operating profit margin}\\\text{Industry Depreciation/Fixed Assets}\\\text{Industry Fixed asset turnover}\\\text{Interest rate}\\\text{Industry Total asset turnover}\\\text{Industry Debt/Total assets}\\\text{Industry Tax rate}\\\end{array}\\begin{array}{r}\\\text{Year 2003}\\\hline\text{\$6,800 Billion}\\\\\\ \$ 525 \\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\end{array}\\begin{array}{r}Estimated\\\text{Year 2004}\\\hline\\ 1.5 \% \\\\\\ 15 \% \\8.25 \% \\3\\6 \% \\1.2 \\45 \% \\36\%\end{array}\\end{array}$

In addition a regression analysis indicates the following relationship between growth in industry sales per share and personal consumption expenditures (PCE) growth is
%D Sales per share = 0.02 + 1.5(%DPCE)
-Refer to Exhibit 13.1.Estimate the industry sales per share for the year 2004.

• A) $574.9
• B) $600.0
• C) $585.03
• D) $625
• E) $550

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Definitions:

T-test

A statistical test used to determine if there is a significant difference between the means of two groups which may be related in certain features.

Sampling Distribution

The probability distribution of a statistic based on a large number of samples drawn from a specific population.

Sample Mean Difference

The calculated disparity between the mean values of two samples from different populations or treatments.

Independent Samples

Refers to two or more groups of samples that are selected from different populations, and each selection does not affect the other selections.