On His Way to the Basketball Game, Tom Says He

question 135

Multiple Choice

On his way to the basketball game, Tom says he cannot predict who will win.After his team wins the game, however, Tom says he knew they were going to win because their defense always plays well together.This is an example of

• A)taking mental shortcuts.
• B)the hindsight bias.
• C)the self-serving bias.
• D)the confirmation bias.

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Definitions:

Overconfidence

The tendency to be more confident in one's own abilities or outcomes than is objectively justified.

Availability Heuristic

A mental shortcut that relies on immediate examples that come to a person’s mind when evaluating a specific topic, concept, method, or decision.

Representativeness Heuristic

A cognitive shortcut used in decision-making that involves judging the likelihood of an event based on how closely it matches a prototype or stereotype.

Belief Perseverance

The phenomenon where individuals stick to their initial beliefs even when confronted with contrasting evidence.