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Consider these four choices: A. $1,000,000 for sure
B. 10 chance of $5,000,000 and .89 chance of $1,000,000 and .01 chance of $0
C. 10 chance of $5,000,000 and .90 chance of $0
D. 11 chance of $1,000,000 and .89 chance of $0
It is commonly observed that people prefer A to B, and prefer C to D. Show that this pair of choices is inconsistent with expected utility maximization.
Future Value
The value of an investment or cash flow at a specified future date, considering the applied interest rate or rates of return.
Cash Flow Stream
A cash flow stream is a series of cash inflows and outflows over a period of time, typically used in financial analysis to determine the value or profitability of an investment.
Rate of Return
The gain or loss of an investment over a specified period, expressed as a percentage of the investment’s cost.
Annuity
A financial product that pays out a fixed stream of payments to an individual, typically used as an income stream for retirees.
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