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The use of probabilities based on prior beliefs is:
Expiration
The predetermined date on which an options or futures contract becomes void and the right to exercise it ceases.
Intrinsic Value
The inherent or true value of an asset, investment, or company, based on fundamental analysis, excluding market speculation.
Exercise Price
The predetermined price at which the holder of an option can buy (in the case of a call option) or sell (in the case of a put option) the underlying asset.
Call Option
A financial contract giving the buyer the right, but not the obligation, to purchase a stock or other asset at a specified price within a specified time.
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