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Exhibit 14.10
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An investor is considering 4 investments, W, X, Y, and Z. The payoff from each investment is a function of the economic climate over the next 2 years. The economy can expand or decline. The following payoff matrix has been developed for the decision problem. The investor has estimated the probability of a declining economy at 80% and an expanding economy at 20%.
-Refer to Exhibit 14.10. Complete the table using the expected monetary value decision rule and indicate which decision should be made according to that rule.
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