Refer to the Following:
a Firm Is Considering the Decision $\text { The economy }$

question 33

Multiple Choice

Refer to the following:
A firm is considering the decision of investing in new plants. It can choose no new plants, one new plant, or two new plants. The following table gives the profits for each choice under three states of the economy. The manager assigns the following probabilities to each state of the economy: the economy expands, 20%, the economy contracts, 40%, or the economy is unchanged 40%.
$\text { The economy }$
$\begin{array}{lccc} & \text { expands }(0.20) & \text { contracts }(0.40) & \text { unchanged }(0.40) \\\hline \text { no new plants } & \$ 10 \text { million } & -\$ 2 \text { million } & \$ 3 \text { million } \\1 \text { new plant } & \$ 20 \text { million } & -\$ 3 \text { million } & \$ 7 \text { million } \\2 \text { new plants } & \$ 30 \text { million } & -\$ 6 \text { million } & \$ 5 \text { million }\end{array}$
-Using the expected value rule which is correct-Building

• A) no new plants is better than one.
• B) one new plant is better than two.
• C) one new plant is equivalent to building two.
• D) one new plant is better than none.
• E) c and d

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Definitions:

Deductive Arguments

A logical process where the conclusion is based on the concordance of multiple premises that are generally assumed to be true.

Valid

A term used in logic to describe an argument where if the premises are true, the conclusion must also be true.

Premises

Buildings and land owned or occupied by a person or company, often referred to in legal and business contexts.

Deductive Argument

A reasoning method where the outcome is derived from the agreement of several assumptions, which are usually considered accurate.