Nokia’s Gamble to Dominate the Smartphone Market Falters

question 4

Essay

Nokia’s Gamble to Dominate the Smartphone Market Falters

The ultimate success or failure of any M&A transaction to satisfy expectations often is heavily dependent on the answer to a simple question. Was the justification for buying the target firm based on a sound business strategy? No matter how bold, innovative, or precedent-setting a bad strategy is, it is still a bad strategy.

In a bold move that is reminiscent of the rollout of Linux, Nokia, a Finnish phone handset manufacturer, announced in mid-2008 that it had reached an agreement to acquire Symbian, its supplier of smartphone operating system software. Nokia also announced its intention to give away Symbian's software for free in response to Google’s decision in December 2008 to offer its Android operating system at no cost to handset makers.

This switch from a model in which developers had to pay a license fee to create devices using the Symbian operating system software to a free (open source) model was designed to supercharge the introduction of innovative handheld products that relied on Symbian software. Any individual or firm can use and modify the Symbian code for any purpose for free. In doing so, Nokia is hoping that a wave of new products using Symbian software would blunt the growth of Apple’s proprietary system and Google’s open source Android system.

Nokia is seeking to establish an industry standard based on the Symbian software, using it as a platform for providing online services to smartphone users, such as music and photo sharing. According to Forrester Research, the market for such services is expected to reach $92 billion in 2012 (almost twice its size when Nokia acquired Symbian), with an increasing portion of these services delivered via smartphones.

In its vision for the future, Nokia seems to be positioning itself as the premier supplier of online services to the smartphone market. Its business strategy or model is to dominate the smartphone market with handsets that rely on the Symbian operating system. Nokia hopes to exploit economies of scale by spreading any fixed cost associated with online services over an expanding customer base. Such fixed expenses could include a requirement by content service providers that Nokia pay a minimum level of royalties in addition to royalties that vary with usage.

Similarly, the development cost incurred by service providers can be defrayed by selling into a growing customer base. The implementation strategy involved the acquisition of the leading supplier of handset operating systems and subsequently to give away the Symbian software free. The success or failure of this vision, business strategy, and implementation strategy depends on whether Symbian can do a better job of recruiting other handset makers, service providers, and consumers than Nokia's competitors.

The strategy to date seems to be unraveling. At the time of the acquisition, Symbian supplied almost 60 percent of the operating system software for smartphones worldwide. Market researcher Ovum estimates that the firm’s global market share fell to less than 50 percent in 2010 and predicts the figure could decline to one-third by 2015, reflecting the growing popularity of Google’s Android software. Android has had excellent success in the U.S. market, leapfrogging over Apple’s 24 percent share to capture 27 percent of the smartphone market, according to the NPD Group. Research-In-Motion (RIM), the maker of the Blackberry, remained the U.S. market share leader in 2010 at 33 percent.

Dell Computer’s Drive to Eliminate the Middleman

Historically, personal computers were sold either through a direct sales force to businesses (e.g., IBM), through company-owned stores (e.g., Gateway), or through independent retail outlets and distributors to both businesses and consumers (e.g., CompUSA). Retail chains and distributors constituted a large percentage of the customer base of other PC manufacturers such as Compaq and Gateway. Consequently, most PC manufacturers were saddled with the large overhead expense associated with a direct sales force, a chain of company-owned stores, a demanding and complex distribution chain contributing a substantial percentage of revenue, or some combination of all three.

Michael Dell, the founder of Dell Computer, saw an opportunity to take cost out of the distribution of PCs by circumventing the distributors and selling directly to the end user. Dell Computer introduced a dramatically new business model for selling personal computers directly to consumers. By starting with this model when the firm was formed, Dell did not have to worry about being in direct competition with its distribution chain.

Dell has changed the basis of competition in the PC industry not only by shifting much of its direct order business to the internet but also by introducing made-to-order personal computers. Businesses and consumers can specify online the features and functions of a PC and pay by credit card. Dell assembles the PC only after the order is processed and the customer’s credit card has been validated. This has the effect of increasing customer choice and convenience as well as dramatically reducing Dell’s costs of carrying inventory.

The Dell business model has evolved into one focused relentlessly on improving efficiency. The Dell model includes setting up super-efficient factories, keeping parts in inventory for only a few days before they are used, and selling computers based on common industry standards like Intel chips and Microsoft operating systems. By its nature, the Dell model requires aggressive expansion. As growth in the PC market slowed in the late 1990s, the personal computer became a commodity. Since computers had become so powerful, there was little need for consumers to upgrade to more powerful machines. To offset growth in its primary market, Dell undertook a furious strategy to extend the Dell brand name into related electronics markets. The firm started to sell “low end” servers to companies, networking gear, PDAs, portable digital music players, an online music store, flat-panel televisions, and printers. In late 2002, the firm began to sell computers through the retail middleman Costco.

Michael Dell believes that every product should be profitable from the outset. His focus on operating profit margins has left little for product innovation. Dell’s budget for new product R&D has averaged 1.3% of revenues in recent years, about one-fifth of what IBM and Hewlett-Packard spend. Rather than be viewed as a product innovator, Dell is pursuing a “fast follower” strategy in which the firm focuses on taking what is currently highly popular and making it better and cheaper than anyone else. While not a product innovator, Dell has succeeded in process innovation. The company has more than 550 business process patents, for everything from a method of using wireless networks in factories to a configuration of manufacturing stations that is four times as productive as a standard assembly line.

Dell’s expansion seems to be focused on its industry lead in process engineering and innovation resulting in super efficient factories. The current strategy seems to be to move into commodity markets, with standardized technology that is widely available. In such markets, the firm can apply its finely honed skills in discipline, speed, and efficiency. For markets that are becoming more commodity-like but still require some R&D, Dell takes on partners. For example, in the printer market, Dell is applying its brand name to Lexmark printers. In storage products, Dell has paired up with EMC Corp. to sell co-branded storage machines. As these markets become more commodity-like, Dell will take over manufacturing of these products. This is what happened at the end of 2003 when it took over production of low-end storage production from EMC. In doing so, Dell was able to cut production costs by 25%.

The success of Michael Dell’s business model is evident. Its share of the global PC market in 2003 topped 16%; the company accounts for more than one-third of the hand-held device market. At the end of 2003, Dell’s price-to earnings ratio exceeded IBM, Microsoft, Wal-Mart, and General Electric. Dell has had some setbacks. In 2001, the firm scrapped a plan to enter the mobile-phone market; in 2002 Dell wrote off its only major acquisition, a storage-technology company purchased in 1999 for $340 million. Dell also withdrew from the high-end storage business, because it decided its technology was not ready for the market.
-How would you describe Dell's current implementation strategy (i.e., solo venture, shared growth/shared control, merger/acquisition, or some combination)? On what core competencies is Michael Dell relying to make this strategy
work?

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Definitions:

Job

Employment, typically a role performed by an individual in exchange for payment.

Money

A medium of exchange used to facilitate the sale, purchase, or trade of goods and services, acting as a unit of account, a store of value, and sometimes, a standard of deferred payment.

Career Interest

Personal preferences or inclinations towards specific professions or occupational areas.

Mechanic

A professional who specializes in repairing and maintaining machinery, particularly automobiles.