TABLE 16-12
the Manager of a Health Club Has

question 71

Short Answer

TABLE 16-12
The manager of a health club has recorded average attendance in newly introduced step classes over the last 15 months: 32.1, 39.5, 40.3, 46.0, 65.2, 73.1, 83.7, 106.8, 118.0, 133.1, 163.3, 182.8, 205.6, 249.1, and 263.5. She then used Microsoft Excel to
obtain the following partial output for both a first- and second-order autoregressive model.
SUMMARY OUTPUT - 2nd Order Model

$\begin{array} { l r } \text { Regression Statistics}\\ \text { Multiple R } & 0.993 \\ \text { R Square } & 0.987 \\ \text { Adjusted R Square } & 0.985 \\ \text { Standard Error } & 9.276 \\ \text { Observations } & 15 \end{array}$

$\begin{array}{ll} & \text { Coetficients } \\\text { Intercept } & 5.86 \\\text { XVariable 1 } & 0.37 \\\text { XVariable 2 } & 0.85\end{array}$
$\text {SUMMARY}$

$\text {OUTPUT - 1st Order}$

$\text {Model Regression}$

$\begin{array} { l r }\text { Statistics}\\ \text { Multiple R } & 0.993 \\ \text { R Square } & 0.987 \\ \text { Adjusted R Square } & 0.985 \\ \text { Standard Error } & 9.150 \\ \text { Observations } & 15 \end{array}$

$\begin{array}{lc} & \text { Coefficients } \\\text { Intercept } & 5.66 \\\text { XVariable 1 } & 1.10 \\\hline\end{array}$

-Referring to Table 16-12, using the first-order model, the forecast of average attendance for month 16 is _____.

---

Definitions:

Fun

Activities or experiences that are enjoyable, amusing, or entertaining.

Dominant Discourses

Prevailing social narratives that shape our understanding of the world and influence power dynamics within society.

Societal Stories

Narratives or themes that are prevalent in a society, reflecting its values, beliefs, and norms.

Socio-cultural Practices

The collective habits, traditions, rituals, norms, and activities that are characteristic of a given community or society, shaped by its cultural and social contexts.