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TABLE 16-12
the Manager of a Health Club Has

question 43

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TABLE 16-12
The manager of a health club has recorded average attendance in newly introduced step classes over the last 15 months: 32.1, 39.5, 40.3, 46.0, 65.2, 73.1, 83.7, 106.8, 118.0, 133.1, 163.3, 182.8, 205.6, 249.1, and 263.5. She then used Microsoft Excel to
obtain the following partial output for both a first- and second-order autoregressive model.
SUMMARY OUTPUT - 2nd Order Model

 Regression Statistics Multiple R 0.993 R Square 0.987 Adjusted R Square 0.985 Standard Error 9.276 Observations 15\begin{array} { l r } \text { Regression Statistics}\\ \text { Multiple R } & 0.993 \\ \text { R Square } & 0.987 \\ \text { Adjusted R Square } & 0.985 \\ \text { Standard Error } & 9.276 \\ \text { Observations } & 15 \end{array}

 Coetficients  Intercept 5.86 XVariable 1 0.37 XVariable 2 0.85\begin{array}{ll} & \text { Coetficients } \\\text { Intercept } & 5.86 \\\text { XVariable 1 } & 0.37 \\\text { XVariable 2 } & 0.85\end{array}
SUMMARY\text {SUMMARY}

OUTPUT - 1st Order\text {OUTPUT - 1st Order}

Model Regression\text {Model Regression}

 Statistics Multiple R 0.993 R Square 0.987 Adjusted R Square 0.985 Standard Error 9.150 Observations 15\begin{array} { l r }\text { Statistics}\\ \text { Multiple R } & 0.993 \\ \text { R Square } & 0.987 \\ \text { Adjusted R Square } & 0.985 \\ \text { Standard Error } & 9.150 \\ \text { Observations } & 15 \end{array}

 Coefficients  Intercept 5.66 XVariable 1 1.10\begin{array}{lc} & \text { Coefficients } \\\text { Intercept } & 5.66 \\\text { XVariable 1 } & 1.10 \\\hline\end{array}

-Referring to Table 16-12, using the second-order model, the forecast of average attendance for month 17 is _____.

Distinguish between the uses and formats of different typographical elements, such as lists and headings, to enhance document design.
Recognize the importance of conciseness and the elimination of redundant expressions in business communication.
Understand the significance of receiving and responding to feedback constructively.
Appreciate the importance of parallel structure and consistency in lists and series for clarity.

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