TABLE 14-17
the Marketing Manager for a Nationally Franchised Lawn

question 165

Short Answer

TABLE 14-17
The marketing manager for a nationally franchised lawn service company would like to study the characteristics that differentiate home owners who do and do not have a lawn service. A random sample of 30 home owners located in a suburban area near a large city was selected; 15 did not have a lawn service (code 0) and 15 had a lawn service (code 1). Additional information available concerning these 30 home owners includes family income (Income, in thousands of dollars), lawn size (Lawn Size, in thousands of square feet), attitude toward outdoor recreational activities (Attitude 0 = unfavorable, 1
= favorable), number of teenagers in the household (Teenager), and age of the head of the household (Age).
The Minitab output is given below:
$\begin{array}{lccccccrr} & & & & \text { Odds } & \text { 95 \% CI } \\\text {Predictor }& \text {Coef }&\text { SE Coef }&\text { Z }& \text {P} &\text { Ratio} &\text { Lower} & \text {Upper }\\\text {Constant }& -70.49 & 47.22 & -1.49 & 0.135 & & & \\\text {Income }& 0.2868 & 0.1523 & 1.88 & 0.060 & 1.33 & 0.99 & 1.80 \\\text {Lawn Size} & 1.0647 & 0.7472 & 1.42 & 0.154 & 2.90 & 0.67 & 12.54 \\\text {Attitude} & -12.744 & 9.455 & -1.35 & 0.178 & 0.00 & 0.00 & 326.06 \\\text {Teenager} & -0.200 & 1.061 & -0.19 & 0.850 & 0.82 & 0.10 & 6.56 \\\text {Age} & 1.0792 & 0.8783 & 1.23 & 0.219 & 2.94 & 0.53 & 16.45\end{array}$

Log-Likelihood = -4.890
Test that all slopes are zero: G = 31.808, DF = 5, P-Value = 0.000

Goodness-of-Fit Tests
$\begin{array}{lrrr}\text { Method } & \text { Chi-Square } & \text { DF } & \text { P } \\ \text { Pearson } & 9.313 & 24 & 0.997 \\ \text { Deviance } & 9.780 & 24 & 0.995 \\ \text { Hosmer-Lemeshow } & 0.571 & 8 & 1.000\end{array}$

-Referring to Table 14-17, what is the estimated odds ratio for a 48-year-old home owner with a family income of $100,000, a lawn size of 5,000 square feet, a positive attitude toward outdoor recreation, and two teenagers in the household?

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Definitions:

Educated Guess

An assumption or prediction based on knowledge, experience, and reasoning, often used in the context of forming a hypothesis.

Relationship Between Variables

The way in which two or more variables are associated with one another, which can be positive, negative, or neutral.

Hypothesis

A proposed explanation for a phenomenon, forming the basis for experimentation to validate or invalidate through observation and experimentation.

Theorem

A statement or proposition that is proven on the basis of previously established statements or proofs.