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TABLE 14-11
a Logistic Regression Model Was Estimated in Order

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TABLE 14-11
A logistic regression model was estimated in order to predict the probability that a randomly chosen university or college would be a private university using information on average total Scholastic Aptitude Test score (SAT) at the university or college, the room and board expense measured in thousands of dollars (Room/Brd), and whether the TOEFL criterion is at least 550 (Toefl550 = 1 if yes, 0 otherwise.) The dependent variable, Y, is school type (Type = 1 if private and 0 otherwise).
The Minitab output is given below:
Logistic Regression Table
 Odds  95: CI  Predictor  Coef  SE Coef Z P  Ratio  Lower  Upper  Constant 27.1186.6964.050.000 SAT 0.0150.0046663.170.0021.011.011.02 Toefl550 0.3900.95380.410.6820.680.104.39 Room/Brd 2.0780.50764.090.0007.992.9521.60\begin{array}{lrrrrrrr} & & & && \text { Odds } & \text { 95: CI } \\\text { Predictor } & {\text { Coef }} & \text { SE Coef } & Z &{\text { P }} & \text { Ratio } & \text { Lower } & \text { Upper } \\\text { Constant } &-27.118&6 .696& -4.05 & 0.000 & & & \\\text { SAT } & 0.015 & 0.004666 & 3.17 & 0.002 & 1.01 & 1.01 & 1.02 \\\text { Toefl550 } & -0.390 & 0.9538 & -0.41 & 0.682 & 0.68 & 0.10 & 4.39 \\\text { Room/Brd } & 2.078 & 0.5076 & 4.09 & 0.000 & 7.99 & 2.95 & 21.60\end{array}

Log-Likelihood = -21.883
Test that all slopes are zero: G = 62.083, DF = 3, P-Value = 0.000
Goodness-of-Fit Tests

 Method  Chi-Square  DF  P  Pearson 143.551760.000 Deviance 43.767760.999 Hosmer-Lemeshow 15.73180.046 \begin{array}{lrcr}\text { Method } & \text { Chi-Square } & \text { DF } & \text { P } \\ \text { Pearson } & 143.551 & 76 & 0.000 \\ \text { Deviance } & 43.767 & 76 & 0.999 \\ \text { Hosmer-Lemeshow } & 15.731 & 8 & 0.046\end{array}

-Referring to Table 14-11, the null hypothesis that the model is a good-fitting model cannot be rejected when allowing for a 5% probability of making a type I error.


Definitions:

Double-blind Study

A research method in which neither the participants nor the researchers know who is receiving the experimental treatment, to prevent bias.

Independent Variable

In an experiment, the variable that is intentionally changed or manipulated to observe its effect on a dependent variable.

Statistically Significant

A term used to describe a result that is not likely to occur randomly, but rather is likely to be attributable to a specific cause.

Replicable

The ability of a study or experiment to be repeated with similar results, underscoring the reliability of the findings.

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