TABLE 14-11
a Logistic Regression Model Was Estimated in Order

question 16

Short Answer

TABLE 14-11
A logistic regression model was estimated in order to predict the probability that a randomly chosen university or college would be a private university using information on average total Scholastic Aptitude Test score (SAT) at the university or college, the room and board expense measured in thousands of dollars (Room/Brd), and whether the TOEFL criterion is at least 550 (Toefl550 = 1 if yes, 0 otherwise.) The dependent variable, Y, is school type (Type = 1 if private and 0 otherwise).
The Minitab output is given below:
Logistic Regression Table
$\begin{array}{lrrrrrrr} & & & && \text { Odds } & \text { 95: CI } \\\text { Predictor } & {\text { Coef }} & \text { SE Coef } & Z &{\text { P }} & \text { Ratio } & \text { Lower } & \text { Upper } \\\text { Constant } &-27.118&6 .696& -4.05 & 0.000 & & & \\\text { SAT } & 0.015 & 0.004666 & 3.17 & 0.002 & 1.01 & 1.01 & 1.02 \\\text { Toefl550 } & -0.390 & 0.9538 & -0.41 & 0.682 & 0.68 & 0.10 & 4.39 \\\text { Room/Brd } & 2.078 & 0.5076 & 4.09 & 0.000 & 7.99 & 2.95 & 21.60\end{array}$

Log-Likelihood = -21.883
Test that all slopes are zero: G = 62.083, DF = 3, P-Value = 0.000
Goodness-of-Fit Tests

$\begin{array}{lrcr}\text { Method } & \text { Chi-Square } & \text { DF } & \text { P } \\ \text { Pearson } & 143.551 & 76 & 0.000 \\ \text { Deviance } & 43.767 & 76 & 0.999 \\ \text { Hosmer-Lemeshow } & 15.731 & 8 & 0.046\end{array}$


-Referring to Table 14-11, what is the estimated probability that a school with an average SAT score of 1100, a TOEFL criterion that is not at least 550, and the room and board expense of 7 thousand dollars will be a private school?

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