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Simulate Amanda's Portfolio Over the Next 30 Years and Determine

question 38

Essay

Simulate Amanda's portfolio over the next 30 years and determine how much she can expect to have in her account at the end of that period. At the beginning of each year, compute the beginning balance in Amanda's account. Note that this balance is either 0 (for year 1) or equal to the ending balance of the previous year. The contribution of $5,000 is then added to calculate the new balance. The market return for each year is given by a normal random variable with the parameters above (assume the market returns in each year are independent of the other years). The ending balance for each year is then equal to the beginning balance, augmented by the contribution, and multiplied by (1+Market return). What is the probability that Amanda will have less than $500,000 in her retirement account after 30 years?


Definitions:

Technological Feasibility

A stage in product development where it is determined whether technology can be developed or adapted to meet the product's requirements within a realistic budget and timeline.

Intangible Assets

Non-physical assets possessing value, such as patents, trademarks, copyrights, and goodwill, often representing a significant part of a company's asset base.

Aging Assets

Refers to the process by which assets, especially tangible fixed assets, decrease in operational efficiency and value over time due to wear and use.

Financial Statement Analysis

The process of reviewing and evaluating a company's financial statements to make informed decisions about its financial health and performance.

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