Simulate Amanda's Portfolio Over the Next 30 Years and Determine

question 88

Essay

Simulate Amanda's portfolio over the next 30 years and determine how much she can expect to have in her account at the end of that period. At the beginning of each year, compute the beginning balance in Amanda's account. Note that this balance is either 0 (for year 1) or equal to the ending balance of the previous year. The contribution of $5,000 is then added to calculate the new balance. The market return for each year is given by a normal random variable with the parameters above (assume the market returns in each year are independent of the other years). The ending balance for each year is then equal to the beginning balance, augmented by the contribution, and multiplied by (1+Market return). What is the standard deviation of the ending balance? What does the distribution look like? What should Amanda infer from this?

---

Definitions:

Universal Process Approach

The Universal Process Approach is a framework suggesting that there are common processes and practices that can be applied across various management and organizational contexts to achieve success.

Public and Private Organizations

Entities that operate in the public sphere, funded by government agencies, versus those in the private sector, owned by private individuals or corporations.

Small Organizations

Entities typically characterized by a limited number of employees, a specific niche market focus, or a restricted operational scale compared to larger corporations.

Henry Fayol

A French engineer and a key figure in the development of classical management theory, known for his 14 principles of management.