Suppose a Poll Shows Smith Leading Jones by 52 Percent

question 29

Multiple Choice

Suppose a poll shows Smith leading Jones by 52 percent to 48 percent for U.S. Senate. What can be said about the results of this poll?

• A) If the margin of error is ± 1 percent, then Smith is certainly ahead of Jones.
• B) If the margin of error is more than ± 2 percent, then Jones might lead Smith.
• C) If the sample is random, then the results of the poll are unimpeachable.
• D) If the confidence level is 99 percent, then Smith is certainly ahead of Jones.
• E) If the margin of error is ± 3 percent, then Jones is ahead of Smith.

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Definitions:

P.T. Barnum

Phineas Taylor Barnum was an American showman, politician, and businessman remembered for promoting celebrated hoaxes and for founding the Barnum & Bailey Circus.

Religious-Based Reform

Describes changes or improvements in society, law, or institutions that are motivated or influenced by religious beliefs or organizations.

Secular Reforms

Changes implemented in a society that are not influenced by religious considerations, often aiming to separate religion from political, educational, or other social institutions.

Horace Mann

An American educational reformer and politician known for his advocacy for public education and the improvement of teacher training in the 19th century.