Use Bayes' Rule to Find the Indicated Probability

question 30

Multiple Choice

Use Bayes' rule to find the indicated probability.
-The incidence of a certain disease on the island of Tukow is 4%.A new test has been developed to diagnose the disease.Using this test,91% of those who have the disease test positive while 4% of those who do not have the disease test positive (false positive) .If a person tests positive,what is the probability that he or she actually has the disease?

• A)0.438
• B)0.91
• C)0.487
• D)0.856

Understand how to prepare and correct a trial balance.

Recognize the importance of accuracy in financial statements and identify the consequences of errors.

Understand the stages and theorists of child development.

Comprehend the psychological and cognitive development theories, including those of Erikson, Piaget, and Mead.

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Definitions:

Premorbid Levels

Referring to the state of someone's psychological and physical health before the onset of a disease or disorder.

Perceptual Distortions

Alterations in perception leading to misinterpretation of environmental stimuli, often associated with psychological disorders.

Delirium

A mental state characterized by confusion, disordered speech, and hallucinations, often resulting from an illness or toxin exposure.

Fluctuating Levels

Variations in the intensity or quantity of something over a period of time, often applied to mood, hormones, or natural phenomena.