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The Following Table Shows the Results of a Survey of 350

question 196

Essay

The following table shows the results of a survey of 350 authors by a (fictitious) publishing company:  New  Authors  Established  Authors  Total  Successful 401050 Unsuccessful 150150300 Total 190160350\begin{array} { | l | l | l | l | } \hline & \begin{array} { l } \text { New } \\\text { Authors }\end{array} & \begin{array} { l } \text { Established } \\\text { Authors }\end{array} & \text { Total } \\\hline \text { Successful } & 40 & 10 & 50 \\\hline \text { Unsuccessful } & 150 & 150 & 300 \\\hline \text { Total } & 190 & 160 & 350 \\\hline\end{array}
An author is chosen at random.
Compute the estimated probability of the event that the author is unsuccessful and new.

Recognize the role of premises in supporting a conclusion.
Distinguish between various forms of arguments (e.g., generalization, analogy).
Comprehend how validity and truth relate to argument quality.
Analyze the effectiveness of premises in forming a strong argument.

Definitions:

Genome

The complete set of genes or genetic material present in a cell or organism.

Molecule

The smallest unit of a chemical compound that can exist; composed of two or more atoms bonded together.

Synapse

The junction between two neurons or between a neuron and a muscle, where electrical or chemical signals are transmitted across the gap.

DNA

Deoxyribonucleic acid, a molecule that carries genetic instructions used in growth, development, functioning, and reproduction of all known living organisms and many viruses.

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