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Time-Series Forecasting with Exponential Smoothing Uses the Following Formula:` St=wyt+(1w)St1S _ { t } = w y _ { t } + ( 1 - w ) S _ { t - 1 }

question 144

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Time-series forecasting with exponential smoothing uses the following formula:` St=wyt+(1w) St1S _ { t } = w y _ { t } + ( 1 - w ) S _ { t - 1 } . where StS _ { t } is the exponentially smoothed time series at time t, yty _ { t } is the value of the time series at time t, and w is the smoothing constant. The forecast value at time t + 1, where w = 0.3, is given by:


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