An Avid Football Fan Was in the Process of Examining $y = \beta _ { 0 } + \beta _ { 1 } x + \beta _ { 2 } x ^ { 2 } + \varepsilon$

question 36

Essay

An avid football fan was in the process of examining the factors that determine the success or failure of football teams. He noticed that teams with many rookies and teams with many veterans seem to do quite poorly. To further analyse his beliefs, he took a random sample of 20 teams and proposed a second-order model with one independent variable. The selected model is: $y = \beta _ { 0 } + \beta _ { 1 } x + \beta _ { 2 } x ^ { 2 } + \varepsilon$ .
where
y = winning team's percentage.
x = average years of professional experience.
The computer output is shown below:
THE REGRESSION EQUATION IS: $y =$ $32.6 + 5.96 x - 0.48 x ^ { 2 }$ $$\begin{array} { | c | r c r | } \hline \text { Predictor } & \text { Coef } & S 2 D e v & T \\\hline \text { Constant } & 32.6 & 19.3 & 1.689 \\x & 5.96 & 2.41 & 2.473 \\x ^ { 2 } & - 0.48 & 0.22 & - 2.182 \\\hline\end{array}$$ S = 16.1 R-Sq = 43.9%.
ANALYSIS OF VARIANCE $$\begin{array} { | l | c c c c | } \hline \text { Source of Variation } & d f & \text { SS } & \text { MS } & F \\\hline \text { Regression } & 2 & 3452 & 1726 & 6.663 \\\text { Error } & 17 & 4404 & 259.059 & \\\hline \text { Total } & 19 & 7856 & & \\\hline\end{array}$$ Test to determine at the 10% significance level if the linear term should be retained.

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