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The following times series shows the demand for a particular product over the past 10 months.
a. Use α = 0.2 to compute the exponential smoothing values for the time series. Compute MSE and a forecast for month 11.
b. Compare the three-month moving average forecast with the exponential smoothing forecast using α = 0.2. Which appears to provide the better forecast based on MSE?
Government Aid
Financial or other assistance provided by a government to individuals, organizations, or other governments in need, which may include subsidies, grants, or disaster relief.
Unemployed
The condition of not having employment while being ready to work.
Mass Unemployment
A significant and widespread condition in which a large percentage of the eligible workforce is unable to find employment.
Deflation
An economic condition characterized by a decrease in the price levels of goods and services.
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