Consider the Following Time Series Data Using the Naïve Method (Most Recent Value) as the Forecast

question 22

Essay

Consider the following time series data. $$\begin{array} { | c | c | } \hline \text { Year } & \text { Value } \\\hline 1 & 234 \\\hline 2 & 287 \\\hline 3 & 255 \\\hline 4 & 310 \\\hline 5 & 298 \\\hline 6 & 250 \\\hline 7 & 456 \\\hline 8 & 412 \\\hline 9 & 525 \\\hline 10 & 436 \\\hline\end{array}$$ Using the naïve method (most recent value) as the forecast for the next year, compute the following measures of forecast accuracy.
a. Mean absolute error
b. Mean squared error
c. Mean absolute percentage error
d. What is the forecast for year 11?

Comprehend how self-interest and competition motivate production and innovation in a market system.

Understand the role of government intervention in a market economy for public goods, externalities, and economic stability.

Describe the coordinating mechanism of price in a free-market system.

Recognize the significance of markets as institutions for exchange.

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Definitions:

Raw Materials

Basic materials and substances used in the initial stages of production and manufacturing processes.