Suppose the Real Risk-Free Rate Is 3

question 33

Multiple Choice

Suppose the real risk-free rate is 3.00%, the average expected future inflation rate is 2.25%, and a maturity risk premium of 0.10% per year to maturity applies, i.e., MRP = 0.10%(t) , where t is the years to maturity. What rate of return would you expect on a 1-year Treasury security, assuming the pure expectations theory is NOT valid? Disregard cross-product terms, i.e., if averaging is required, use the arithmetic average.

• A) 5.08%
• B) 5.35%
• C) 5.62%
• D) 5.90%
• E) 6.19%

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Definitions:

Annual Time-Series

Data collected or recorded at regular intervals over a year, used in statistical analysis and forecasting.

Exponential Smoothing

A weighted moving average technique that applies decreasing weights to older data points, used for time-series data analysis.

Recent Data

Recent Data refers to the latest or most contemporary data available in a dataset, useful for making current analyses or predictions.

Smoothing Calculation

A mathematical process used to remove short-term fluctuations and highlight longer-term trends or cycles in data sets.