After the September 11^th Attacks, One Division of the Pentagon

question 52

Multiple Choice

After the September 11^th attacks, one division of the Pentagon began to set up a Policy Analysis Market (PAM) , a prediction market for political events in the Middle East. United States senators cancelled the program after discovering that it would allow futures contracts for assassinations and terrorist attacks. Had the PAM survived, how might it have helped the United States government?

• A) by lowering the signal-to-noise ratio in the market
• B) by tipping off terrorists that they were about to be captured
• C) by showing the world that we did not know very much about events in foreign countries
• D) by aggregating dispersed information about political events into a single, readable signal

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Definitions:

Antisocial Personality Disorder

A long-lasting mental condition reflected in continuous disrespect or breach of other people's rights.

Impulse Control

The ability to resist urges or impulses that may harm oneself or others, often discussed in the context of psychological disorders.

Serotonin

A neurotransmitter that contributes to feelings of well-being and happiness, and is involved in the regulation of mood, appetite, and sleep.

Aggression

Behaviors or actions taken with the intention of causing harm or exerting dominance over another, which can be physical, verbal, or non-verbal.